Tue Oct 11 07:57:05 2022
(*9cb05920*):: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12591/nuclear-detonation-in-ukraine-by-2023/
*** Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023?
*** The aggregate of 412 Metaculus community forecasters was 7% on Oct 11, 2022.
*** metaculus.com
(*9cb05920*):: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Dod9AWz8Rp4Svdpof/why-i-think-there-s-a-one-in-six-chance-of-an-imminent +public!
*** Why I think there’s a one-in-six chance of an imminent global nuclear war – LessWrong
*** A community blog devoted to refining the art of rationality
*** lesswrong.com
